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Rublev rises from the ashes in Madrid!

Rublev rises from the ashes in Madrid!
le 03/05/2024 à 13h53

Having arrived in Madrid in crisis, Andrey Rublev will be aiming for another Masters 1000 final this Friday. And the world no. 8 is clearly the odds-on favorite! He is, by far, the player with the greatest pedigree of the four semi-finalists. It's no exaggeration to say that the opportunity to win a second Masters 1000 title (after Monte-Carlo 2023) is enormous.

However, the clay-court season got off to a very poor start for the Russian. Disqualified for abusive language towards a linesman in February (against Bublik in the Dubai semi-finals), the Moscow-born player went from strength to strength (4 defeats in a row before arriving in the Spanish capital). But, as he himself says, everything can change very quickly in tennis: "For six weeks, I didn't win anything. It's better not to think about it at all. [...] It happens to everyone, all players have gone through these moments. The most important thing is to keep working, to improve and to remember that in one week everything can change." (remarks made at a press conference following his victory over Carlos Alcaraz 4-6, 6-3, 6-2).

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More hard-hitting than ever, Rublev relied on dry shots and a killer serve to get back to winning ways in Madrid. His serve was perhaps the most striking weapon in his game this week. As evidenced by the little note Carlos Alcaraz slipped him after their match ("T'as super bien servi mec!"), Rublev serves very well. As the Muscovite himself admits: "In the last two matches, I've served really well. Having free points in every game is a real plus. (comments relayed by L'Equipe).

That said, his efficiency on serve is hardly surprising, given that the Russian is the third-best server on the circuit this season (90% of service games won on average in 2024). The rest of his tennis, based on powerful, suffocating strokes, stems from his killer serve.

Even more than his first serve, it's the quality of the world number 8's second serve that's starting to give cause for concern. For a long time, the Russian's second serve was a little shaky, but he's making great strides in this area: "We know that all players are aggressive and try to attack their second ball. That's why we're trying to improve our speed and take more risks. He's making progress every day." (Fernando Vicente, Rublev's coach).

With such a quality of service, all he needs to do is improve his break point efficiency, and he could go up another notch (40th in the world in terms of break point conversions in 2024).

For a place in the final, Rublev will face another player who is very comfortable on serve, Taylor Fritz (13th in the world). That said, this opponent is bound to bring back fond memories for him, having beaten him in the Monte-Carlo semi-finals last year (5-7, 6-1, 6-3), before claiming the title against Holger Rune.

Andrey Rublev
16e, 2520 points
Julien Dubail
Non classé
Alexander Bublik
11e, 2870 points
Bublik A • 7
Rublev A • 2
6
7
6
7
6
5
Madrid
ESP Madrid
Draw
Carlos Alcaraz
1e, 12050 points
Rublev A • 7
Alcaraz C • 2
4
6
6
6
3
2
Taylor Fritz
6e, 4135 points
Fritz T • 12
Rublev A • 7
4
3
6
6
Rublev A • 5
Fritz T • 8
5
6
6
7
1
3
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4j

I propose the following changes to the rules:

1...a walķover will not be a loss. We have no control of player's health. If he or she is entered in a contest we expect them to play.

2...an incomplete match is not a loss. If a player forfeits we pick another match if there are more to choose.

3...this also applies if TT cancels a match. TT will not take hours to decide an outcome.

How about leavin...

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4j

It's a shame that so many matches are being canceled. TT ,you are destroying your game ,and thereby killing your app. I don't know how many matches others have had canceled , but I'm at 3 and it's only thursday.

As a long time player and lover of this game , I don't know how much of this I can tolerate. For example I waited hours last night for you to confirm my win and post my points. Every ot...

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8j

This week I have used all my formulas and best guesses to try to achieve the high score jimandlori958 set in our last competition. I am two games short because of cancelations and I need all wins to get there.

12j

why did tennis tonic void predictions on the match between Grenier and Hsu at the Kobe tournament? The match was played to completion and on time.

12j

Grenier def Ysu 6-2 , 6-2 at Kobe today and the TT canceled the match.

2nd for me this week.

14j

An impressive win.. Congrats to our winner this week, jimandlori958 and with a score that could not be caught or matched. I don't remember a 56 in a while with our group. Nice to see everyone using the 2 point predictions. Can't win without 'em.

18j

Son of a gun, pow. You going for the 3peat? Do it, but I'm chasing and so is Jimandlori. lol

21j

POWWOW , Congratulations you did it again and by slim percentage points. Keep it going....

22j

Can anybody tell why going on matches of WTA Final is not included within daily predictions