Two spots for four players: the different scenarios for the outcome of the Jimmy Connors Group at the ATP Finals

Adrien Guyot

le 13/11/2025 à 08h15

1 min to read

Alcaraz ATP Finals De Minaur Fritz Musetti

Thursday's matches will determine the identity of the two players from the Jimmy Connors Group who will qualify for the semi-finals. Before the final group stage match, all four players involved can still experience the full range of emotions.

Who will join Jannik Sinner in the semi-finals of the ATP Finals? As of now, and with all eight players having played two group matches, only the Italian is 100% guaranteed a spot in the final four. In the Jimmy Connors Group, everything is still possible.

Everyone can be qualified and eliminated. Carlos Alcaraz, who won his first two matches in the tournament this week, has one foot and four toes in the semi-finals. The only scenario that would eliminate him from the tournament today would be a loss to Musetti in straight sets and a win for Fritz earlier in the day against De Minaur.

As for De Minaur, who has yet to register a win, the situation is also simple: to qualify, the Australian must first absolutely beat Fritz in straight sets, and then hope for Alcaraz to beat Musetti later in the evening. For the rest, here are all the possibilities for the day based on the results below.