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De Minaur, Auger-Aliassime, the Medvedev Surprise: The Race for ATP Finals Qualification Intensifies

De Minaur, Auger-Aliassime, the Medvedev Surprise: The Race for ATP Finals Qualification Intensifies
le 10/10/2025 à 16h16

Next month in Turin, the traditional ATP Finals will take place, a tournament that brings together the eight best players of the season. While Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have already secured their spots for the prestigious Masters, everything remains possible behind them.

Because although Novak Djokovic is third in the Race rankings, the Serb has cast doubt about his participation. Last year, the seven-time Masters tournament winner had managed to qualify but skipped the ATP Finals, and could do the same this year.

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Alexander Zverev, who has passed the 4000-point mark accumulated in the calendar year, is also very well positioned to qualify despite a tricky season in the major tournaments, if we exclude his final at the Australian Open at the start of the season.

The two American players, Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton, are approaching the 4000-point mark and are hot on the heels of the German in the rankings. Behind them, the battle promises to be intense among the last contenders for the Masters.

Currently, Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti, currently 7th and 8th in the Race, are virtually qualified, especially since Jack Draper, well positioned but withdrawn for the rest of the season, will not be in Turin. Félix Auger-Aliassime, beaten in the quarter-finals in Shanghai by Arthur Rinderknech, is on the lookout, but would only join the cast if Djokovic withdraws.

However, watch out for the surprise guest who could be Daniil Medvedev. 21st in the Race before arriving in Shanghai, the Russian has 1910 points but would score 1000 points at once if he wins the title in China, as he faces Rinderknech for a place in the final.

In case of a victory, he would then surpass the Canadian and completely relaunch himself in the qualification race, even with the Paris Masters 1000 still to come, which should also see the contenders fighting until the last point to secure their qualification for the ATP Finals.

However, seeing Medvedev compete in the Masters, a tournament he won in 2020, would be a huge surprise, especially since the world No. 18 has only won one Grand Slam match this season, which was in the first round of the Australian Open against Kasidit Samrej (6-2, 4-6, 3-6, 6-1, 6-2). After that, he lost to Learner Tien in the next round, then fell in the first round against Norrie at Roland-Garros and against Bonzi at Wimbledon as well as at the US Open.

Novak Djokovic
4e, 4830 points
Alexander Zverev
3e, 5160 points
Taylor Fritz
6e, 4135 points
Ben Shelton
9e, 3970 points
Alex De Minaur
7e, 4135 points
Lorenzo Musetti
8e, 4040 points
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5e, 4245 points
Casper Ruud
12e, 2835 points
Holger Rune
15e, 2590 points
Andrey Rublev
16e, 2520 points
Alexander Bublik
11e, 2870 points
Daniil Medvedev
13e, 2760 points
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2mi

I propose the following changes to the rules:

1...a walķover will not be a loss. We have no control of player's health. If he or she is entered in a contest we expect them to play.

2...an incomplete match is not a loss. If a player forfeits we pick another match if there are more to choose.

3...this also applies if TT cancels a match. TT will not take hours to decide an outcome.

How about leavin...

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2h

It's a shame that so many matches are being canceled. TT ,you are destroying your game ,and thereby killing your app. I don't know how many matches others have had canceled , but I'm at 3 and it's only thursday.

As a long time player and lover of this game , I don't know how much of this I can tolerate. For example I waited hours last night for you to confirm my win and post my points. Every ot...

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4j

This week I have used all my formulas and best guesses to try to achieve the high score jimandlori958 set in our last competition. I am two games short because of cancelations and I need all wins to get there.

8j

why did tennis tonic void predictions on the match between Grenier and Hsu at the Kobe tournament? The match was played to completion and on time.

8j

Grenier def Ysu 6-2 , 6-2 at Kobe today and the TT canceled the match.

2nd for me this week.

10j

An impressive win.. Congrats to our winner this week, jimandlori958 and with a score that could not be caught or matched. I don't remember a 56 in a while with our group. Nice to see everyone using the 2 point predictions. Can't win without 'em.

13j

Son of a gun, pow. You going for the 3peat? Do it, but I'm chasing and so is Jimandlori. lol

17j

POWWOW , Congratulations you did it again and by slim percentage points. Keep it going....

18j

Can anybody tell why going on matches of WTA Final is not included within daily predictions