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Why Ben Shelton Could Be the Surprise of the Australian Open 2026 (and Nobody Sees It Coming)

While Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner dominated the 2025 season, a third man is advancing quietly but with increasingly dangerous power.
Why Ben Shelton Could Be the Surprise of the Australian Open 2026 (and Nobody Sees It Coming)
AFP
Arthur Millot
le 25/11/2025 à 12h59
2 min de lecture

Ben Shelton, 23 years old, explosive 6'4" frame, will arrive in Melbourne with an interesting mix: acknowledged ambition but above all an extraordinary rise for a player who started tennis late.

Yes indeed, when he burst onto the main tour in 2022, Shelton had never left the United States. He wasn't even in the top 500.

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Three years later, he has won a Masters 1000, reached the semifinals at the Australian Open and US Open, and is now a member of the top 10.

For a player who started late, the achievement is prodigious.

"Most guys were prodigies. Me, to reach the top 20 in two years after playing in college... I don't take anything for granted. I'm not a finished product," he admits.

And that's precisely what terrifies his future opponents: Shelton hasn't reached his ceiling yet.

From cannon serve to complete player: the metamorphosis

We knew his 149 mph serve. We now know his heavier backhand, his variations, his service games mastered solely through his second serve.

"My serve was a crutch. I had to evolve. Today I can hold an entire game with second serves," he admits.

He's no longer the kid who relied on one shot. He's a more complete athlete.

An American confidence that makes him dangerous

Shelton avoids nothing. Not even pressure. "I can use it as fuel. It helps me play better."

In Melbourne, in the heat and intensity, this mentality can make the difference. Moreover, the hot Australian hard court amplifies his heavy ball.

Finally, no American has reached the final in Melbourne since Agassi in 2003. An additional source of motivation.

That's why Ben Shelton could win the Australian Open 2026. And why nobody should be surprised if he does.

Ben Shelton
9e, 3970 points
Jannik Sinner
2e, 11500 points
Carlos Alcaraz
1e, 12050 points
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4j

I propose the following changes to the rules:

1...a walķover will not be a loss. We have no control of player's health. If he or she is entered in a contest we expect them to play.

2...an incomplete match is not a loss. If a player forfeits we pick another match if there are more to choose.

3...this also applies if TT cancels a match. TT will not take hours to decide an outcome.

How about leavin...

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4j

It's a shame that so many matches are being canceled. TT ,you are destroying your game ,and thereby killing your app. I don't know how many matches others have had canceled , but I'm at 3 and it's only thursday.

As a long time player and lover of this game , I don't know how much of this I can tolerate. For example I waited hours last night for you to confirm my win and post my points. Every ot...

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9j

This week I have used all my formulas and best guesses to try to achieve the high score jimandlori958 set in our last competition. I am two games short because of cancelations and I need all wins to get there.

13j

why did tennis tonic void predictions on the match between Grenier and Hsu at the Kobe tournament? The match was played to completion and on time.

13j

Grenier def Ysu 6-2 , 6-2 at Kobe today and the TT canceled the match.

2nd for me this week.

15j

An impressive win.. Congrats to our winner this week, jimandlori958 and with a score that could not be caught or matched. I don't remember a 56 in a while with our group. Nice to see everyone using the 2 point predictions. Can't win without 'em.

18j

Son of a gun, pow. You going for the 3peat? Do it, but I'm chasing and so is Jimandlori. lol

22j

POWWOW , Congratulations you did it again and by slim percentage points. Keep it going....

23j

Can anybody tell why going on matches of WTA Final is not included within daily predictions